### Table 10: Aggregate Safe Supply Distributions (2024-2054)

| Year | Median | P10 | P90 | Mean | SD | E[N safe] |
|:--|--:|--:|--:|--:|--:|--:|
| 2024 | 0.8940 | 0.2785 | 0.9737 | 0.7865 | 0.2502 | 18.0 |
| 2029 | 0.8839 | 0.2604 | 0.9678 | 0.7563 | 0.2685 | 17.6 |
| 2034 | 0.8548 | 0.2256 | 0.9547 | 0.7278 | 0.2802 | 16.7 |
| 2039 | 0.8348 | 0.2058 | 0.9309 | 0.6805 | 0.2960 | 15.8 |
| 2044 | 0.8130 | 0.1893 | 0.9161 | 0.6456 | 0.3028 | 15.1 |
| 2049 | 0.7833 | 0.1610 | 0.9109 | 0.6146 | 0.3155 | 14.3 |
| 2054 | 0.7672 | 0.1345 | 0.8886 | 0.5723 | 0.3204 | 13.5 |

*Safe supply = GDP-weighted debt of countries with rating >= AA-. 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations drawing from coefficient VCV.*
